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Showing posts with label who will win. Show all posts
Showing posts with label who will win. Show all posts

Friday, September 30, 2022

Mallikarjun Kharge vs Shashi tharoor: Who will win?


Finally the picture is clear. Three Congress leaders filed their nominations for the prestigious election to be held for the Congress President's post on October 17th. And today was the last day to file the nominations. The official candidate of the party supported by the Gandhi family is senior Congress leader Mallikarjuna Kharge. The other candidates Digvijaya Singh and Ashok Gehlot withdrew from the race and extended their support to Kharge. Shashi Tharoor M P who had already declared to contest also filed his nomination. Another leader who has submitted his nomination is former Jharkhand minister K N Thripathi.

Congress President Election 2022 final list of contesting candidates:

1. M Mallikarjuna Kharge (age 80 years)

2. Shashi Tharoor  (age 66 years)

3. K N Tripathi

Among the three, a tough fight is expected to take place between senior Congress leader and leader of the opposition in the Rajya Sabha Mallikarjun Kharge and Thiruvananthapuram Lok Sabha M P Shashi Tharoor. As the third candidate in the fray is not a national leader, he many not make much impact. 

Kharge who hails from Karnataka had served as union minister twice and held many important offices. Even though he is an experienced and powerful leader he was always loyal to the Congress high command. And probably that may be the main reason for senior congress leader A K Anthony to suggest him (even though he is too old to work)!

Shashi Tharoor is probably the most glamorous leader in the Congress party at present out of the Gandhi family. He is an internationally acclaimed personality who has fans throughout. He is an effective orator and writer and a scholar in English language. 

There are many people who opine that Shashi Tharoor who has latest ideas and vision can revive the grand old party, which is almost in a dilapidated condition at present, more efficiently than anybody else. He will be a better option to rebuild the UPA also as he has got a special skill to negotiate with the other adamant partners in the front. At the same time there are some who doubt his loyalty to the Congress party. They fear that if he is cornered or proffered an irresistible offer from the BJP he may yield!

The third candidate K N Thripati who hails from Jarkhand had served as a minister of that state. As he is not known throughout the country he may not bag more votes to win!

Please add your comments/opinions below:

Sunday, February 21, 2021

Asianet News - C FORE Kerala Pre-Poll Survey Results 2021


2021 Kerala Assembly Election dates are not yet declared. But all political parties are trying various strategies to secure maximum seats in the polls and grab power. Even though the ruling LDF government is plunged in neck-deep corruptions, inefficiency and all sorts of malpractices, C M Pinarayi Vijayan and team seem to be very confident of getting comfortable seats to rule Kerala state once again.

At the same time, for the Congress led UDF, it is a life and death game. If they fail to win maximum seats and form the government this time, it will be a fatal blow not only to the Indian National Congress party, but to all the parties in the front that may even affect their survival.  

And for the BJP, it is a golden chance to fish from the muddy water and to put a solid political base by winning some seats in Kerala. BJP's advancement in Kerala is considered as a dangerous move for the minorities particularly the Muslims.

There are also news and speculations about the 'secret deal' between the CPI(M) and the BJP to help one another to destroy the Congress party completely.

The entry of new popular political parties like 'Twenty20 party' and 'One India One Pension' (OIOP) will be a threat to all the three fronts in this elections, particularly to the UDF.

Though nothing is predictable at the moment, everyone is eager to know the current trends and the latest survey results for a temporary relief.

The first pre poll survey is conducted by 'Asianet news and C Fore' with regard to the Kerala Assembly Election 2021. In this survey the verdict is in favour of the ruling Pinarayi Vijayan government. Here are the survey results in a nutshell. 

* The survey predicts the possibility of LDF coming back to power with the advantage it may get in the Assembly segments of Southern Kerala.

* The 'free food kits' being supplied to all households and the hiked welfare pensions are the most liked schemes of this government.

* Majority of the people feel Pinarayi Vijayan as the most preferred candidate to be the Chief Minister with 39% votes, followed by Oommen Chandy with 18% votes. 9% of the survey participants preferred Shashi Tharoor as the CM candidates and 7% opted K K Sailaja. Only 6% of the participants voted for Ramesh Chennithala and 5% K Surendran.

* The survey predicts that BJP will not make any impressive improvement in this election as of now. 


Thursday, March 9, 2017

Indian Assembly Elections 2017: Exit Polls Results

Elections to the 5 states Assemblies including the crucial UP state concluded yesterday in many lengthy phases. As the political situations not only in the country but throughout the world are changing rapidly, elections are a matter of do or die. Democracy is being murdered by the political parties and the so called leaders. Elections now-a-days are proving that 'might is right'. People are losing hope in the system. Whether people are interested or not, the politicians and the so called leaders want to win any elections as power is their breath of life!

Tough not all, there are many people (mostly political activists and their sympathizers) who are waiting eagerly to know the outcome of the elections held in a prolonged manner. Though the actual and final results can be known on Saturday, 11th March, to quench their curiosity to some extend, they watch the exit poll predictions conducted by various agencies. But ironically most of the claims of the exit poll companies are proven to be wrong when the past exit poll results are analysed closely.

However lets have a look at the different Exit Poll (Opinion poll) results below:

As all the exit polls predicted the victory of BJP in all the four states viz except Punjab, it is not felt necessary to list in detail here.

(You may also add your guess/comment below:)

Friday, May 6, 2016

Poonjar / Punjar (Kottayam) Assembly Election 2016 winner is ..

Though the electoral battle in every constituency whether big or small, is a matter of 'do or die' situation for all the political parties and contesting candidates concerned, some constituencies attract special public interest. Poonjar assembly constituency in Kottayam district of Kerala is probably witnessing one of the toughest poll battles and all eyes are turned towards Poonjar to know the voting outcome.

As per the final list of nominations filed for the Kerala Assembly Polls 2016 after the withdrawal of candidates, Poonjar constituency recorded the top position in entire Kerala with the highest number of 17 candidates in the fray. While most constituencies have a triangular fight Poonjar is witnessing a quadrilateral battle with all the four candidates foretelling their winning. 

In Poonjar, UDF has fielded Georgekutty Augusthy of Kerala Congress (M) and LDF is supporting PC Joseph (newly formed Francis George Group). The NDA's candidate is former CPIM activist MR Ullas who is now a member of Vellappally Nateshan's BDJS. 

Poonjar gained its present popularity by its long time MLA PC George, who was earlier liked by most people of the mandalam for his pro-people activities and comparatively cleaner and transparent image. But his disobedience to the political leaderships and his uncontrollable tongue distanced many of his loyal fans from him. In the past, he was a regular celebrity guest for the media as he often used unparliamentary and vulgar words in his public statements against most leaders in the government of which he too was a part. Many journalists, mimicry artists and cartoonists often termed him as an 'uncontrollable wild animal' and he seemed enjoying and relishing these comments and considered them as an encouragement for his untameable wild attitude. 

But after leaving the government and the ruling front, with a hope of getting the favor of the left leaders, he further unlashed his sharp tongue and continued to challenge everyone with whom he was working for more than three years. And when his hope of getting accommodated in the LDF failed, George realised the necessity to control his tongue. And when the LDF at the last moment, fielded another candidate for Poonjar, it was a great unexpected blow for PC George and he was very calculative and careful in criticising the LDF leaders like Pinaray Vijayan and Kodiyeri Balakrishnan as he knew it is not safe as he is aware of the after effect of criticising CPI(M) leaders.

PC George who has represented Poonjar as MLA for six times has won the applaud of the people of his constituency for being with them even in small and common things that pertained even to the average man. People have high regard for his character and his stand against corruption. Even though he is contesting as an independent candidate now as the LDF which has ditched him, he is very confident of his victory and has offered his support to VS Achuthanandan in case there is a hung assembly and VS getting the chance becoming the next CM. To his added advantage, both his rivals who were earlier his colleagues are new to the assembly. 

For people of Poonjar PC George is an already proven worker. What ever is his merits or demerits in adjusting with other fronts or parties, people feel that he is a reliable leader who will stand by the people and for the people in their needs. They also hope that in the event of his winning another term, he concentrate more on the needs of the constituency and its people rather than wasting his time, energy and respect by engaging in mud-slinging and revenge taking activities and prove his improved maturity in deeds and words...!!!

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Kerala Assembly Elections 2016. Who (which party / front) will win?

With the arrival of the new year 2016, many political parties in Kerala state where elections to the state legislative assembly are to be held, are busy making plans to go to the voters once again with many false promises. Many political leaders who usually approach the voters only once in 5 years during the election seasons to beg for their verdicts are preparing new attractive masks and practising new body languages postures and strategies to face the people. And some leaders and parties whose only aim is power and positions are assessing the winning chances of the three fronts in the state to switch their loyalties by jumping to those sides in the eleventh hour.

The state of Kerala which was ruled either by the Congress led United Democratic Front (UDF) or the CPI(M) led Left Democratic Front all these years, have one more newly-entered third front in the electoral battle field which is to be headed by the BJP and Vellappally Nateshan's BDJS which is striving to gather some disgruntled small parties and leaders whom they may offer handsome rewards and the centre's favour and friendship.

Even though political analysers rule out any chances of the third front's entry in to the state's legislative assembly, the newly appointed head of the state BJP, Kummanam Rajashekharan who is projected as a hard liner extremist in implementing Hindutva ideology and was surprisingly made president by the party's national president and prime minister considering only this qualification, side lining the views and wishes of many experienced, seasoned and dedicated party workers, has predicted that the BJP would form the government in Kerala after the 2016 assembly polls. But the people of the state do not seem to be bothered about his boastings.

On the other hand according to the people's opinion, SNDP general secretary Vellappally Nateshan who has floated a new political party with the dream of gathering all the Hindus under one umbrella, with the only intention of acquiring political power in the state (and also a berth in the central cabinet) and escaping any punitive actions against many of the criminal cases in which he is allegedly involved, that have been overlooked by both these fronts that ruled due to his communal influence.

But as BDJS and BJP could not succeed to get the support of other Hindu groups and organizations like Nair Service Society (NSS) another powerful caste-based organization in Kerala that give weightage to the secular values, and many of the leaders and members in SNDP objected to this new idea of forming third front together with RSS and its allied gropus, the scene has completely changed and Vellappally nateshan has admitted failure by announcing his readiness to hold talks with CPIM party leaders yesterday.

As far as Kerala is concerned, though most people have their own religions and beliefs, the majority of the population gives good weightage to secularism. The people encouraging and cooperating with the people of other religions in everything is a common and ordinary sight in Kerala. And the beauty of the state is that the people of the state will not tolerate any attempt by any communal forces that try to sow divisive seeds. 

The main reason of the ruling UDF to receive a 'shock treatment' in the recent local body elections was because of the 'soft stand' of some of the Congress leaders particularly CM Oommen Chandy's and HM Ramesh Chennithala to Vellappally's new idea of joining hands with 'sangh parivar' and forming new political party that can be a threat to the secular fabircs of Kerala. Only KPCC President V M Sudheeran was seen leading a lone one-man-fight against Vellappally's family venture. Bar bribery case and other scams played only a very minor role that affected adversely in the outcome of the polls. And the only thing that increased the votes of the LDF candidates is because of the 'stern stand' of all the Communist party leaders particularly V S Achuthanandan and Pinarayi Vijayan against the 'sangh pariwar' and the burning issues like the 'beef row'. This is a small warning sign that the people though they don't like corruptions, they may forgive the thieves, but they cannot tolerate even small amount of 'divisiveness'..!

Every party will have some ardent followers and loyal cadres. But no party can secure a victory in any elections with the votes of their own party members or workers. Giving the real verdict is vested with the neutral minded apolitical people who generally do not have any permanent inclination to any political parties or leaders. In the present scenario as of now, the wind appears in favour of the LDF because the secular-minded people believe that only the CPI(M) led left has the willpower to withstand the communal forces and their fascist agenda. 

Who (which party) will win the assembly elections in 2016 and form the government is not predictable as of now. There are many factors that may decide the poll results. Changing of allies, splits of small parties, judgements in some pending inquiries and cases etc. may all influence the election results. There are many factors that act as 'strengths' and 'weakness' to both the fronts. Some incidenets or happenings can change the fate of the 3rd front which is now not active. 

Positive Strengths of UDF:

1. Oommen Chandy is personally a good person to be the CM with his soft-
spoken' nature and over all developmental plans.

2. KPCC President V M Sudheeran's clean image with good and daring stands on many issues like 'liquor ban', party discipline, national intolerance, religious and communal harmony etc.

3. There is a common feeling among the people that only UDF can bring some fast development.

Negative weakness of UDF:

1. Corruption and scams in every field is very high during UDF rule. 

2. Cheap and dirty infighting and group-war of some Congress leaders. Particularly that of some 'I' group members like Ramesh Chennithala and K Sudhakaran and excluding leaders like K Muraleedharan, Adoor Prakash etc.

3. Allocation of some portfolios to some partner parties who entrust them with unsuitable persons. Example: By giving education portfolio to Abdu Rabb has proved that he can also draw back our education system.

4. Inability to take stern stand and actions against the fascists, corrupt and criminals.

5. Less discipline and obedience in the party. The recent 'boycott' of Mullappally Ramachandran to KPCC Chief's rally is an open challenge to the people who voted for him.

Positive Strengths of LDF:

1. Many people think that the communists only can prevent the fascist powers from spewing their communal venom in the community. It is the need of the hour.

2. Less corruption comparatively. 

3. More obedience and discipline in the party and cadres to the leaderships.

Negative weakness of LDF:

1. There is a common feeling that the communists are against development.

2. The frequent strikes and bundhs held by the communists give a lot of inconveniences to the public. Hence they are less preferred.

3. The high handedness and arrognaces of even chotta leaders. The way they take undue advantages of the rule and show disrespect other parties. 

4. The high handedness and arrogant goonda attitude of head load and other coolies associate with LDF. Collection of 'Nokku Kooly' etc.

It is high time for all the parties concerned to correct the negative things and create confidence and try to win more seats in the ensuing assembly polls. If anyone is not ready to make corrections or serve selflessly, he/she should quit to politics and better do some other works.

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Bihar Assembly Elections 2015: Who / Which Party will WIN?

As the notifications, schedule and poll dates for the Bihar state Assembly polls are announced and the first phase of voting is just few weeks ahead , people of the country are keenly watching to know the outcome of the polls to know who will be the next chief minister of Bihar. The Bihar elections 2015 gains a lot of significance as it is an open war between the two main political forces in India. On one side are the candidates backed by the PM Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) led coalition which is openly playing the Hindutva religious card and on the other side are those parties and their allies that advocate for the prevalence of secularism in India. 

Though the Bihar Assembly polls 2015 is a prestige issue for all those parties and leaders concerned, the actual fight is between its incumbent chief minister Nitish Kumar of the JDU and the all powerful prime minister of India Narendra Modi. Even though the preliminary opinion polls and pre-poll results conducted by some agencies predict the victory of both the NDA alliance and the Maha Janata Parivar, the actual results will be available only on the votes' counting day ie 8th November, 2015. 

India is the largest democracy in the world. But unfortunately majority of the voters in India are illiterate or uneducated and are not aware of the value of their votes in the process of an election, and this ignorance is en-cashed by many fraudulent candidates who are well-versed and talented in fooling the voters with their false promises and actions. Most of the parties (candidates) indulge in buying votes with their money power which they made illegally by plundering the country and the people. 

Many poor voters are not aware that the power to decide who should rule them is vested with them. The country is their own. Those people who are elected are just their representatives and not their bosses in any way. But many so called leaders think that they are the owners of the land and indulge in many anti people activities once they acquire power and positions.

There is mixed opinions from the people regarding the result of the Bihar elections. Some people give credit to the incumbent chief minister Nitish Kumar who has very well proved his genuineness and wish that he should be elected to power once again and develop Bihar. Some others hope that BJP led alliance should win the elections and form a government so that the state would get the huge funds promised by the central government

Please add your guess-work and wishes below:

Wednesday, August 14, 2013

Who will win (own) the 'Malayali House' Reality show in Surya TV

The reality show telecast on Surya Malayalam TV channel has completed so many episodes. There are mixed opinions and responses from the viewers of this show. 

Many people reportedly watch this program only to see the cheap, narrow, jealous and negative mentality of Malayees which is widely presented by many great people in their speeches and writings. 

We have heard many wise people compare Malayalees to 'crabs' (njandu) in an open box, which never let another one escape....!

The contestants of this program were admired to some (or more) extend by the people for their distinguished talents and individual efficiency. But as their inner hidden self was revealed, people started hating them. Knowingly or unknowingly they are all exhibiting their 'true colors' which probably Malayalees only poses in the whole world (Asuya and Kusumbu), when it comes to another person gaining something.

Dr. G.S Pradeep, a popular quiz master was having some reputation until the people saw his cheap and sub-standard behavior and communication in the Malayali House. Now all who admired him are repenting for being his fans earlier.

There are a number of people who are strongly objecting to this program, which the producers may think as a publicity to get more viewers.  

It is true that, a competition is for winning... but ... a competition conducted for and by Indians, that too Malaylees, there should be some decency and ethics... opine most people who view this program...!

Thursday, May 17, 2012

Nellore Lok Sabha by poll June 12th, 2012: Who (Which Party's candidate) will win? opinion polls

Mekapati Rajamohan Reddy
T Subbarama Reddy
The Nellore Loksabha by election is the most prestigios of all by polls to be held in Andhra Pradesh on June 12th, 2012. It is a triagular fight between three Reddys representing the three prominant Political Parties of A.P. But the toughest neck to neck war is expected between the Congress (INC) Candidate T Subbarama Reddy who is directly fielded by the party president Sonia Gandhi and the YSR Congress (YSRC) candidate Mekapati Rajamohan Reddy, who won as the Member of the Lokshabha from Nellore in the previous poll and switched loyalty to YSRC party. Interestingly both these Reddys are close relatives....!

Though many pre poll surveys and opinion polls suggest that the YRRC candidatel Mekapati Rajamohan Reddy will from theis Loksabha constituency, the systematic campaign of T Subba Rami Reddy with Telugu cine stars and celebrities and his history of developing the constituencies that he represents gives a clue that he is determined to win as the MP of Nellore in the by poll in June 2012...!

Anyhow the anxious people have to wait for some more time to see which Reddy will win as the M.P of  Nellore in the by poll 2012 where Reddy and Reddy v/s Reddy....!



Sunday, April 1, 2012

Neyyattinkara By Election, 2012 - Who will win...? R Selvaraj...?

With the completion of the By election successfully in the prestigious Piravom Assembly segment, now it is yet another by poll which is very important for both the fronts in Kerala, the ruling UDF and the opposition LDF...!

As the sitting left MLA R. Selvaraj resigned from his Kerala State Assembly Membership owing to rifts and irreparable differences with the LDF leadership, another by poll has become inevitable for the state which is a prestige issue for both the rival fronts.

As the Congress has decided to support Selvaraj's candidature (though K. Muraleedharan, as usual has started opposing it), the majority opinion of the people is that in the present scenario, Selvaraj would win. How ever nobody is ready to take anything for granted as the previous results of Punjab and UP elections taught strange lessons to the parties.

Many common people are of the opinion that, all the coalition partners in the UDF should behave responsibly keeping aside all their selfish positions and posts for the successful implementation of the welfare policies and projects of the Oommen Chandy Government in Kerala.

The UDF allies like the Muslim League, Kerala Congress (M) , Kerala Congress (B), etc etc...that always have differences with one another and fight often for positions, must understand the sensitivity of the present situation and should be ready to forgo some selfish motives.

Many people think that the chief whip of the UDF P.C George, should speak as a matured politician rather than just like a child....!

If they do not act and behave with sense, they may all pay heavily for it just as their friends did in the North...!

Please guess who will win and add your comments: Thanks....!

Thursday, March 22, 2012

Who will win the Republican Nomination in US... The Final Candidate to contest with Barack Obama in November, 2012...?

The main question that still raises in the people's mind is who will be the finalist to compete with the sitting american President Barack Obama for the Presidential seat in November, 2012. After a lot of tiresome campaigns and voting, which could not give a clear picture about the conclusion of the of Republican candidate yet, both the candidates and the voters are looking for an early solution. The fight for the Republican nominee is increasingly bitter and there is neck to neck competition.

Though different opinion polls and surveys give different results some favoring Rick Santorum and others favoring Mitt Romney, finalizing the Republican nominee has become a complex process with the fluctuating leads both the candidates are getting from different states and quarters.

The latest news is that the GOP Presidential race is going to slow down as the contesting candidates and the voters are seeking for a break. According to reports, Mitt Romney has gone t his own home for a break after a long gap. Another candidate Newt Gingrich was caught by cams as sleeping.

Even the enthusiastic voters and the people are losing interest as the selection process of the presidential candidate is slowing down, consuming more time.

Please add your comments and your guess below....!






Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Piravom by election - Who will win...? UDF or LDF ...? AK Antony campaigns March 13, 2012...!

As seen as one of the most sensational and prestigious Assembly polls, Piravom by election sheduled to be held on March 17th (Saturday) has a lot of significance in the present political scenario in Kerala.

While the UDF Party that is ruling Kerala State with a very meager margin on the verge of collapse at any moment, considers the victory of its candidate Anoop Jacob, the son of the late Kerala Congress (J) chief T.M Jacob as inevitable, at the same time, veteran LDF candidate M.J Jacob, and the Left parties that support him dreams of snatching the power in the event of the success of its candidate.

Hence the fight is tough as it is a do or die battle for both the candidates and parties.

Union Defense Minister A.K Antony campaigned for the UDF candidate today and expressed his strong hope that the UDF will win with a huge margin. He said it is a peoples' verdict for the good governance given by the UDF government led by its Chief Minister Oommen Chandy, who works for the people with dedication and happiness for twenty hours a day....!

There is mixed reactions among the people of the constituency on who will win in the poll to be held on this Saturday. Who will be declared as the MLA of Piravom on the counting day...???

Political analysts and experts are of the opinion that the recent resignation of  Neyyattinkara CP(M) MLA R.Selvaraj, the visit and campaign of A.K Antony today and the recent controversial defamatory comment of V.S. Achuthanadan on Sindhu Joy... all add up as positive elements to the victory of UDF...!



Please Add your comments and guess who will win...!